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Submitted or under revision

In press

Hawkins, G., Brown, S. D., Steyvers, M., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (in press). An optimal adjustment procedure to minimize experiment time in decisions with multiple alternatives. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review.

van Maanen, L., Grasman, R. P. P. P., Forstmann, B. U., Keuken, M. C., Brown, S. D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (in press). Similarity and number of alternatives in the random-dot motion paradigm. Attention, Perception, & Psychophysics.

Mulder, M., Wagenmakers, E.-J., Ratcliff, R., Boekel, W., & Forstmann, B. (in press). Bias in the brain: A diffusion model analysis of prior probability and potential payoff. Journal of Neuroscience.

Hawkins, G., Brown, S. D., Steyvers, M., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (in press). Decision speed induces context effects in choice. Experimental Psychology.

Huizenga, H., Wetzels, R., van Ravenzwaaij, D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (in press). Four empirical tests of unconscious thought theory. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes.

Jepma, M., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Nieuwenhuis, S. (in press). Temporal expectation and information processing: A model-based analysis. Cognition. Model specification, model code, and model output is available from a zip file (23.3 MB).

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Krypotos, A.-M., Criss, A. H., & Iverson, G. (in press). On the interpretation of removable interactions: A survey of the field 33 years after Loftus. Memory & Cognition.

Dutilh, G., Vandekerckhove, J., Forstmann, B. U., Keuleers, E., Brysbaert, M., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (in press). Testing theories of post-error slowing. Attention, Perception, & Psychophysics.

Forstmann, B. U., Tittgemeyer, M., Wagenmakers, E.-J., Derrfuss, J., Imperati, D. & Brown, S. (in press). The speed-accuracy tradeoff in the elderly brain: A structural model-based approach. Journal of Neuroscience.

van Ravenzwaaij, D., van der Maas, H. L. J., &Wagenmakers, E.-J. (in press). Optimal decision making in neural inhibition models. Psychological Review.

van Ravenzwaaij, D., Dutilh, G., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (in press). A diffusion model decomposition of the effects of alcohol on perceptual decision making. Psychopharmacology.

Hawkins, G., Brown, S. D., Steyvers, M., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (in press) Context effects in multi-alternative decision making: Empirical data and a Bayesian model. Cognitive Science.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., van der Maas, H. L. J., & Farrell, S. (in press). Abstract concepts require concrete models: Why cognitive scientists have not yet embraced nonlinearly-coupled, dynamical, self-organized critical, synergistic, scale-free, exquisitely context-sensitive, interaction-dominant, multifractal, interdependent brain-body-niche systems. TopiCS.

Borsboom, D., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Romeijn, J.-W. (in press). Mechanistic curiosity will not kill the Bayesian cat. Comment on "Bayesian Fundamentalism or Enlightenment? On the explanatory status and theoretical contributions of Bayesian models of cognition". Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

2012

2011

Dutilh, G., Krypotos, A.-M., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011). Task-related vs. stimulus-specific practice: A diffusion model account. Experimental Psychology, 58, 434-442.

van Maanen, L.,  Brown, S., Eichele, T., Wagenmakers, E.-J., Ho, T., Serences, J., & Forstmann, B. U. (2011). Neural correlates of trial-to-trial fluctuations in response caution. Journal of Neuroscience, 31, 17488-17495.

Lodewyckx, T., Kim, W., Tuerlinckx, F., Kuppens, P., Lee, M. D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011). A tutorial on Bayes factor estimation with the product space method. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 55, 331-347.

Nieuwenhuis, S., Forstmann, B. U., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011). Erroneous analyses of interactions in neuroscience: A problem of significance. Nature Neuroscience, 14, 1105-1107.

van Ravenzwaaij, D., van der Maas, H. L. J., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011). Does the name-race Implicit Association Test measure racial prejudice? Experimental Psychology, 58, 271-277.

Forstmann, B. U., Wagenmakers, E.-J., Eichele, T., Brown, S., & Serences, J. T. (2011). Reciprocal relations between cognitive neuroscience and formal cognitive models: Opposites attract? Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 15, 272-279.

Wetzels, R., Matzke, D., Lee, M. D., Rouder, J. N., Iverson, G. J., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011). Statistical evidence in experimental psychology: An empirical comparison using 855 t tests. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 6, 291-298.

Stringer, S., Borsboom, D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011). Bayesian inference for the information gain model. Behavior Research Methods, 43, 297-309.

van Ravenzwaaij, D., Brown, S., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011). An integrated perspective on the relation between response speed and intelligence. Cognition, 119, 381-393.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Wetzels, R., Borsboom, D., & van der Maas, H. L. J. (2011). Why psychologists must change the way they analyze their data: The case of psi: Comment on Bem (2011). Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 100, 426-432 (official journal version is here). A robustness analysis is provided here. Featured in the New York Times, der Spiegel, Science (2011, vol. 331, pp. 272-273), and many other journals and media throughout the world.

Dutilh, G., Wagenmakers, E.-J., Visser, I., & van der Maas, H. L. J. (2011). A phase transition model for the speed-accuracy trade-off in response time experiments. Cognitive Science, 35, 211-250.

Donkin, C., Brown, S., Heathcote, A., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011). Diffusion versus linear ballistic accumulation: Different models but the same conclusions about psychological processes? Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 18, 61-69.

Nilsson, H., Rieskamp, J., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011). Hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation for cumulative prospect theory. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 55, 84-93.

van Ravenzwaaij, D., Dutilh, G., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011). Cognitive model decomposition of the BART: Assessment and application. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 55, 94-105.

2010

Forstmann, B. U., Anwander, A., Schäfer, A., Neumann, J., Brown, S., Wagenmakers, E.-J., Bogacz, R., & Turner, R. (2010). Cortico-striatal connections predict control over speed and accuracy in perceptual decision making. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107, 15916-15920. Featured under "Editors' Choice" in Science, 2010, vol. 329, p. 1443.

Wetzels, R., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2010). Exemplary introduction to Bayesian statistical inference. Book review of "Bayesian modeling using WinBUGS" (Wiley, 1st ed., 2009). Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 54, 466-469.

Wetzels, R., Lee, M. D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2010). Bayesian inference using WBDev: A tutorial for social scientists. Behavior Research Methods, 42, 884-897. Ruud's WBDev page is here.

Heathcote, A., Brown, S., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Eidels, A. (2010). Distribution-free tests of stochastic dominance for small samples. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 54, 454-463.

Jepma, M., te Beek, E. T., Wagenmakers, E.-J., van Gerven, J. M. A., & Nieuwenhuis, S. (2010). The role of the noradrenergic system in the exploration-exploitation trade-off: A
pharmacological study. Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 4:170.

Iverson, G., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Lee, M. D. (2010). A model averaging approach to replication: The case of p_rep. Psychological Methods, 15, 172-181.

Forstmann, B. U., Brown, S., Dutilh, G., Neumann, J., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2010).  The neural substrate of prior information in perceptual decision making: A model-based analysis. Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 40:4.

Wetzels, R., Grasman, R. P. P. P., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2010). An encompassing prior generalization of the Savage-Dickey density ratio. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 54, 2094-2102.

Iverson, G., Lee, M. D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2010). The random-effects p_rep continues to mispredict the probability of replication. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 17, 270-272.

Wetzels, R., Vandekerckhove, J., Tuerlinckx, F., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2010). Bayesian parameter estimation in the Expectancy Valence model of the Iowa gambling task. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 54, 14-27.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Lodewyckx, T., Kuriyal, H., and Grasman, R. (2010). Bayesian hypothesis testing for psychologists: A tutorial on the Savage-Dickey method. Cognitive Psychology, 60, 158-189. Data, R code, and WinBUGS code are available here.

Bogacz, R., Wagenmakers, E.-J., Forstmann, B. U., & Nieuwenhuis, S. (2010). The neural basis of the speed-accuracy tradeoff. Trends in Neurosciences, 33, 10-16.

2009

Brown, S., Steyvers,  M., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). Observing evidence accumulation during multi-alternative decisions. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 53, 453-462.

Grasman, R. P. P. P., van der Maas, H. L. J., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). Fitting the cusp catastrophe in R: A cusp-package primer. Journal of Statistical Software, 32, 1-27.

Dutilh, G., Vandekerckhove, J., Tuerlinckx, F., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). A diffusion model decomposition of the practice effect. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 16, 1026-1036. See also http://home.medewerker.uva.nl/g.dutilh/page1.html. 

Matzke, D. & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). Psychological interpretation of ex–Gaussian and shifted Wald parameters: A diffusion model analysis. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 16, 798-817. Data, R code, and WinBUGS code is available here.

Iverson, G., Lee, M. D., Zhang, S., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). p_rep: An agony in five fits. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 53, 195-202.

Wetzels, R., Raaijmakers, J. G. W., Jakab, E., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). How to quantify support for and against the null hypothesis: A flexible WinBUGS implementation of a default Bayesian t test. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 16, 752-760.

Torre, K., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). Theories and models for 1/f^β noise in human movement science. Human Movement Science, 28, 297-318.

Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). Teaching graduate students how to write clearly. APS Observer, 22.

Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). Methodological and empirical developments for the Ratcliff diffusion model of response times and accuracy. European Journal of Cognitive Psychology, 21, 641-671.

Steyvers, M., Lee, M. D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). A Bayesian analysis of human decision-making on bandit problems. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 53, 168-179.

Grasman, R. P. P. P., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & van der Maas, H. L. J. (2009). On the mean and variance of response times under the diffusion model with an application to parameter estimation. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 53, 55-68. This is the link to the EZ2 software in Excel, JavaScript, and R. 

Iverson, G., Lee, M. D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). p_rep misestimates the probability of replication. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 16, 424-429.

Jepma, M., Wagenmakers, E.-J., Band, G. P. H., Nieuwenhuis, S. (2009). The effects of accessory stimuli on information processing: Evidence from electrophysiology and a diffusion-model analysis. Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience, 21, 847-864. The Matlab DMAT code for the individual level analysis can be found here, and the code for the group level  analysis can be found here.

Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2009). How do individuals reason in the Wason card selection task? Comment on "Bayesian rationality: The probabilistic approach to human reasoning" (Oxford University Press, 2007). Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 32, 104.

2008

Forstmann, B. U., Dutilh, G., Brown, S., Neumann, J., von Cramon, D. Y., Ridderinkhof, K. R., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2008). Striatum and pre-SMA facilitate decision-making under time pressure. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105, 17538-17542. Supporting information.

Shiffrin, R. M., Lee, M. D., Kim, W., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2008). A survey of model evaluation approaches with a tutorial on hierarchical Bayesian methods. Cognitive Science, 32, 1248-1284.

Ahn, W.-Y., Busemeyer, J. R., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Stout, J. C. (2008). Comparison of decision learning models using the generalization criterion method. Cognitive Science, 32, 1376-1402.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., van der Maas, H. L. J., Dolan, C., & Grasman, R. P. P. P. (2008). EZ does it! Extensions of the EZ-diffusion model. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 15, 1229-1235. The Robust EZ software can be found here, and Robust EZ software adjusted for batch processing can be found here. 

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Lee, M. D., Lodewyckx, T., & Iverson, G. (2008). Bayesian versus frequentist inference. In H. Hoijtink, I. Klugkist, and P. A. Boelen (Eds.), Bayesian Evaluation of Informative Hypotheses, pp. 181-207. Springer: New York.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., & van der Maas, H. L. J. (2008). Book review of "Clocking the mind: Mental chronometry and individual differences" (Elsevier, 2006). Intelligence, 36, 493-494.

2007

Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2007). A practical solution to the pervasive problems of p values. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 14, 779-804. The online appendix "Stopping rules and their irrelevance for Bayesian inference" is avalable here, and the online appendix "That wretched prior" is available here. A corrigendum that points out two mistakes and shows how to easily calculate BIC is available here.

van Harreveld, F., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & van der Maas, H. L. J. (2007). The effects of time pressure on chess skill: An investigation into fast and slow processes underlying expert performance. Psychological Research, 71, 591-597.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Brown, S. (2007). On the linear relation between the mean and the standard deviation of a response time distribution. Psychological Review, 114, 830-841.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., van der Maas, H. L. J., & Grasman, R. P. P. P. (2007). An EZ-diffusion model for response time and accuracy. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 14, 3-22. The EZ-diffusion model has been implemented in JavaScript (click here), R (click here), and Excel (click here). A Matlab implementation is here (courtesy of Alex Petrov, http://alexpetrov.com/). The detailed review of the diffusion model parameters (i.e., which studies, which tables, which values) is available here.

2006

Farrell, S., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Ratcliff, R. (2006). 1/f noise in human cognition: Is it ubiquitous, and what does it mean? Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 13, 737-741.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Raaijmakers, J. G. W. (2006). Long-term priming of neighbors biases the word recognition process: Evidence from a lexical decision task. Canadian Journal of Experimental Psychology, 60, 275-284. Stimulus materials for Experiment 1 are here, and stimulus materials for Experiment 2 are here.

Grasman, R. P. P. P., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2006). Rescue the Gardiner book! Book review of "Handbook of Stochastic Methods: for Physics, Chemistry, and the Natural Sciences" (Springer-Verlag, 3rd ed., 2004). Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 50, 431-435.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Grünwald, P. (2006). A Bayesian perspective on hypothesis testing. Psychological Science, 17, 641-642.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Grünwald, P., & Steyvers, M. (2006). Accumulative prediction error and the selection of time series models. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 50, 149-166. The one second time estimation data may be found here.

Zeelenberg, R., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Rotteveel, M. (2006). The impact of emotion on perception: Bias or enhanced processing? Psychological Science, 17, 287-291.

2005

Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Nieuwenhuis, S. (2005). Damasio's error: De somatic marker hypothese onder vuur. Neuropraxis, 9, 165-169. The title translates as: "Damasio's error: The somatic marker hypothesis under fire". This article is in Dutch, but the references may still be useful for someone interested in a recent critique of Damasio's somatic marker hypothesis and the Iowa gambling task. Note. Just after this article went to press, we discovered a well-written in press manuscript that discusses exactly the same issues. The reference is Dunn, B. D., Dalgleish, T., Lawrence, A. D. (in press). The somatic marker hypothesis: A critical evaluation. Neuroscience and Biobehavioral Reviews (available online at http://www.hss.caltech.edu/~steve/somatic.pdf). A more philosophical perspective on the somatic marker hypothesis is provided by McGinn: "I have two things to say about this theory: it is unoriginal, and it is false." (a pdf of his New York Times article can be found here).

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Molenaar, P. C. M., Grasman, R. P. P. P., Hartelman, P. A. I., & van der Maas, H. L. J. (2005). Transformation invariant stochastic catastrophe theory. Physica D, 211, 263-276. An R-program that accompanies this paper may be found here, and the help file may be found here.

Lee, M. D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2005). Bayesian statistical inference in psychology: Comment on Trafimow (2003). Psychological Review, 112, 662-668.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Grasman, R., & Molenaar, P. C. M. (2005). On the relation between the mean and the variance of a diffusion model response time distribution. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 49, 195-204. An R-program that accompanies this paper may be found here, and the help file may be found here. A Maple file that gives the derivations can be found here.

van der Maas, H. L. J., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2005). A psychometric analysis of chess expertise. The American Journal of Psychology, 118, 29-60. See http://users.fmg.uva.nl/hvandermaas/chesshtml/act.htm for details.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Farrell, S., & Ratcliff, R. (2005). Human cognition and a pile of sand: A discussion on serial correlations and self-organized criticality. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 134, 108-116.

Pecher, D., Zeelenberg, R., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2005). Enemies and friends in the neighborhood: Orthographic similarity effects in semantic categorization. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 31, 121-128.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., van der Maas, H. L. J., & Molenaar, P. C. M. (2005). Catastrophe theory. In B. S. Everitt & D. C. Howell (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science, Vol. 1, pp. 234–239. Chichester: Wiley.

2004

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Farrell, S., & Ratcliff, R. (2004). Estimation and interpretation of 1/f^α noise in human cognition. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 11, 579–615.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Zeelenberg, R., Steyvers, M., Shiffrin, R. M., & Raaijmakers, J. G. W. (2004). Nonword repetition in lexical decision: Support for two opposing processes. The Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, 57A, 1191–1210.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Farrell, S. (2004). AIC model selection using Akaike weights. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 11, 192-196.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Ratcliff, R., Gomez, P., & Iverson, G. J. (2004). Assessing model mimicry using the parametric bootstrap. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 48, 28-50.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Steyvers, M., Raaijmakers, J. G. W., Shiffrin, R. M., van Rijn, H., & Zeelenberg, R. (2004). A model for evidence accumulation in the lexical decision task. Cognitive Psychology, 48, 332-367. An Excel file containing the stimulus materials for both Experiment 1 and 2 can be found here.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Farrell, S., & Ratcliff, R. (2004). Naive nonparametric bootstrap model weights are biased. Biometrics, 60, 281-283. 

Zeelenberg, R., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Shiffrin, R. M. (2004). Nonword repetition priming in lexical decision reverses as a function of study task and speed stress. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 30, 270-277.

2003 and earlier

Steyvers, M., Tenenbaum, J. B., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Blum, B. (2003). Inferring causal networks from observations and interventions. Cognitive Science, 27, 453-489.

Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2003). How many parameters does it take to fit an elephant? Book review of "Model selection and multimodel inference: A practical information-theoretic approach" (Springer-Verlag, 2nd ed., 2002). Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 47, 580-586.

Zeelenberg, R., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Raaijmakers, J. G. W. (2002). Priming in implicit memory tasks: Prior study causes enhanced discriminability, not only bias. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 131, 38-47.

Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2001). Book review of "The Oxford handbook of memory", edited by E. Tulving and F. Craik (Oxford University Press 2000), Acta Psychologica, 106, 329-331.

Steyvers, M., Wagenmakers, E.-J., Shiffrin, R. M., Zeelenberg, R., & Raaijmakers, J. G. W. (2001). A Bayesian model for the time-course of lexical processing. In E. M. Altmann and A. Cleeremans (Eds.), Proceedings of the 2001 Fourth International Conference on Cognitive Modeling (pp. 205-209). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Zeelenberg, R., Schooler, L. J., & Raaijmakers, J. G. W. (2000). A criterion-shift model for enhanced discriminability in perceptual identification: A note on the counter model. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 7, 718-726.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Zeelenberg, R., & Raaijmakers, J. G. W. (2000). Testing the counter model for perceptual identification: Effects of repetition priming and word frequency. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 7, 662-667.

Wagenmakers, E.-J., Zeelenberg, R., Huber, D., Raaijmakers, J. G. W., Shiffrin, R. M., & Schooler, L. J. (2003). REMI and ROUSE: Quantitative models for long-term and short-term priming in perceptual identification. In J. Bowers and C. Marsolek (Eds.), Rethinking implicit memory, pp. 105-123. Oxford University Press.

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